Matchday 2026 US Open Futures Predictions Hub

The 2026 US Open futures market at Polymarket is loaded with possibilities, but not every short price deserves attention and not every longshot offers real value.

This hub will track our favorite men’s and women’s US Open futures picks throughout the tournament, with selections based on current form, hard-court performance, matchup profile, draw position, and price.

As new markets open and the draw takes shape, we’ll continue updating this page with our latest 2026 US Open futures picks and predictions as part of our ongoing 2026 US Open coverage.

Be sure to visit our Matchday Picks transparency page, where we track all our futures and individual results.

Crush & Rush News Tennis Betting Hub

Men’s US Open Futures Picks and Predictions

Matchday US Open Futures Picks and Predictions

• Novak Djokovic to Win: 12%
• Taylor Fritz to Reach the Quarterfinals: 39%
• Rafael Jodar to Reach the US Open Quarterfinals: 47%

Novak Djokovic to Win the US Open: YES (12% at Polymarket)

Novak Djokovic is no longer the suffocating returner who dominated this tournament for years, but 12% still looks playable.

His 2026 break rate has fallen to 19.4%, and he is winning just 35.5% of his return points.

The serve, however, remains reliable. Djokovic is holding 85.8% of the time this season and has already reached the Australian Open final and Wimbledon semifinals.

More importantly, the US Open field has opened up. Jannik Sinner is out, and there are very few players in the draw whom Djokovic simply cannot beat over five sets.

We already made the full case for Djokovic in his US Open futures analysis.

Pick: Novak Djokovic to win the US Open, YES at 12% on Polymarket.

Taylor Fritz to Reach the US Open Quarterfinals: YES (39% at Polymarket)

Taylor Fritz enters New York 8-2 over his last 10 matches while holding serve 87.9% of the time this season.

His quarter includes Felix Auger-Aliassime, Jakub Mensik, Learner Tien, Flavio Cobolli, and Francisco Cerundolo, but nobody presents an overwhelming obstacle.

With Fritz winning 78.8% of first-serve points and landing in a navigable section, 39% looks too low.

Pick: Taylor Fritz to reach the US Open quarterfinals, YES at 39% on Polymarket.

Rafael Jodar to Reach the US Open Semifinals: YES (47% at Polymarket)

Rafael Jodar has already shown he can beat the players standing between him and a deep run.

The 19-year-old owns 2026 wins over Alex de Minaur, Arthur Fils, Jiri Lehecka and Lorenzo Musetti, while carrying a 70-20 record over the last 52 weeks.

With de Minaur and Casper Ruud the biggest threats in his quarter, Jodar has a legitimate path to his first US Open semifinal.

Pick: Rafael Jodar to reach the US Open semifinals.

Women’s US Open Futures Picks and Predictions

Matchday US Open Futures Picks and Predictions

• Coco Gauff to Win the US Open (+514 at Polymarket)
• Iga Swiatek to Win the US Open (+525 at Polymarket)
• Karolina Muchova to Reach the Quarterfinals: YES (31% at Polymarket)

Coco Gauff to Win the US Open (+514 at Polymarket)

Coco Gauff arrives in New York after going 9-1 across Toronto and Cincinnati, capped by a commanding title run. Her elite return game creates constant pressure, but the most encouraging development was her improving serve.

Gauff committed only six double faults across her final three Cincinnati matches, including one while beating Jessica Pegula 6-2, 6-4 in the final. She has already won this tournament, owns the crowd, and enters with genuine momentum.

At approximately +514 on Polymarket, Gauff offers value to capture her second US Open championship.

Iga Swiatek to Win the US Open (+525 at Polymarket)

Iga Swiatek went 9-1 across Toronto and Cincinnati, winning the Toronto title before reaching another semifinal. Her serve remains vulnerable under pressure, but no leading contender controls return games more consistently.

Swiatek breaks 46.9% of the time, wins 60.6% of second-serve return points, and owns a combined hold-and-break rate nearly identical to Aryna Sabalenka. She also won the 2022 US Open and arrives with proven championship confidence.

At approximately +525, Swiatek offers an attractive price for the strongest return profile in the women’s field.

Karolina Muchova to Reach the US Open Quarterfinals: YES (31% at Polymarket)

Karolina Muchova enters New York 9-1 over her last 10 matches and 28-9 on hard courts over the past 52 weeks.

She has also gone 6-6 against Top 10 opponents during that span, proving she can handle elite competition.

The six-week layoff creates some uncertainty, but Muchova landed in a navigable section of the draw.

Pick: Karolina Muchova to reach the US Open quarterfinals, YES at 31% on Polymarket.

Phil Naessens

Phil Naessens has spent decades in sports as a broadcaster, author, journalist, professional tennis coach, and betting analyst. As the founder and editor of Crush & Rush News and host of the Crush & Rush Tennis Podcast, he combines firsthand coaching experience with years of sports media and publishing to deliver thoughtful tennis analysis, tournament coverage, player features, and transparent betting insights built around value, and not hype.