CRUSH AND RUSH NEWS

Independent Tennis and Sports Betting Analysis. No locks. No hype. No parlays.

CRUSH AND RUSH NEWS

Independent Tennis and Sports Betting Analysis. No locks. No hype. No parlays.

ATP Tour Entry List

2026 Italian Open ATP: Draw Times, Entry List, Withdrawals, Past Champions

ENTRY LIST UPDATE โ€“ MASTERS 1000 ROMA ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น (#IBI26)

MAIN DRAW
OUT: Opelka, Collignon
IN: Vukic, Muller
NEXT: Halys

QUALIFYING
OUT: Dimitrov, Gojo, Vukic, Muller, Taberner
IN: Faria, Piros, Rodesch, Echargui, B. Harris
NEXT: Jacquet

Updated: May 1, 2026

The 2026 Italian Open ATP Masters sees a major shift before a ball is even struck, with Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz both pulling out of the event.

With the defending champion sidelined, last yearโ€™s runner-up Jannik Sinner now enters Rome as the overwhelming favorite on home soil.

This piece breaks down the draw times, entry list, withdrawals, and past champions heading into one of the most important clay-court stops of the season, the 2026 Italian Open ATP Masters, on May 6, 2026

Official Resource

Crush & Rush News: ATP & WTA Entry Lists

Stay ahead of the draw. Get the definitive look at the field before the first ball is struck.

Italian Open Intelligence Center

Everything you need to prepare for the 2026 Italian Open ATP Masters can be found in Phil’s Italian Open Intelligence Center.

Internazionali BNL d’Italia 2026

Intelligence Command Center


๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น The Sinner Factor

MEN’S DRAW BREAKDOWN

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Sabalenka’s Path

WOMEN’S DRAW BREAKDOWN

๐Ÿ‘‘ Queen of Clay?

WTA Draw Date & Betting Trends

๐Ÿ“Š Draw Analysis

ATP Draw Times & Past Champions

โš ๏ธ Field Alert

Wild Cards & Late Withdrawals

Draws & Tournament Vitals

ATP Power Rankings

View ATP Top 100

WTA Power Rankings

View WTA Top 100
Price-First Betting Strategy โ€ข Independent Analysis โ€ข ROI Focused

Italian Open ATP Masters Tourney Details

Draw Reveal: May 3, 1 PM local time
Main Draw Begins: May 6
Defending Champion: Carlos Alcaraz
Entry List: Italian Open Menโ€™s Singles entry list

Past 5 Italian Open Champions

As you can plainly see, clay-court grinders with massive return games have won the Men’s Italian Open ATP Masters singles title.

Kings of the Clay

ATP Rome: The Last 5 Reigning Champs

Year The Champion The Runner-Up Final Score
2021 Rafael Nadal (10/10) N. Djokovic 7โ€“5, 1โ€“6, 6โ€“3
2022 Novak Djokovic (6/6) S. Tsitsipas 6โ€“0, 7โ€“6(7โ€“5)
2023 Daniil Medvedev (1/1) H. Rune 7โ€“5, 7โ€“5
2024 Alexander Zverev (2/2) N. Jarry 6โ€“4, 7โ€“5
2025 Carlos Alcaraz (1/1) J. Sinner 7โ€“6(7โ€“5), 6โ€“1
PRO TIP: Rome crowns kings and breaks hearts. Nadal’s record 10th title, Djokovic’s bagel opener in 2022, and now Alcaraz dismantling Sinner. The throne never stays warm for long.

Italian Open ATP Masters Betting Trends (2014-2025)

Phil has gathered up all the pertinent round-by-round Italian Open ATP Masters betting trends from 2012 to 2025.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น

Italian Open Betting Statistics

Internazionali BNL d’Italia ย ยทย  2014โ€“2025 ย ยทย  ATP 1000

ย  Favorite Underdog Over / Under
Round Matches Win % ML ROI Win % ML ROI Avg Games Over % Under %
1st Round 264 66.7% โˆ’2.6% 33.3% โˆ’11.6% 23.1 42.0% 58.0%
2nd Round 208 70.2% โˆ’7.3% 29.8% โˆ’11.7% 22.0 44.2% 55.8%
3rd Round 104 76.9% +2.2% 23.1% โˆ’8.5% 22.2 41.3% 58.7%
4th Round 24 70.8% โˆ’3.5% 29.2% โˆ’8.3% 24.2 41.7% 58.3%
Quarterfinals 40 75.0% +1.6% 25.0% โˆ’19.6% 21.4 47.5% 52.5%
Semifinals 20 90.0% +16.8% 10.0% โˆ’78.3% 24.0 45.0% 50.0%
The Final 10 50.0% โˆ’31.7% 50.0% +39.0% 21.5 50.0% 50.0%

ROI calculated per $100 flat bet on moneyline. Odds source: Pinnacle/market average (AvgW / AvgL). Over/Under based on total games played vs. per-round mean line. Sample: 670 matches, 2014โ€“2025 (excl. 2020โ€“2021).

Key Takeaways

  • Favorites win consistently early, around 66 to 70 percent in the first two rounds
  • Early-round favorites are not profitable, with negative ROI despite high win rates
  • Third round is the first spot where favorites show a positive return
  • Quarterfinals still favor top players, but profits are small and margins tighten
  • Semifinals heavily favor favorites, winning 90 percent with strong ROI
  • The final is unpredictable, split 50 50 with underdogs showing strong profit
  • Unders hit more often than overs across most rounds, especially early
  • Match length stays consistent, usually around 21 to 24 games

 

Phil Naessens

Phil Naessens has spent decades in sports as a broadcaster, author, journalist, professional tennis coach, and betting analyst. As the founder and editor of Crush & Rush News and host of the Crush & Rush Tennis Podcast, he combines firsthand coaching experience with years of sports media and publishing to deliver thoughtful tennis analysis, tournament coverage, player features, and transparent betting insights built around value, and not hype.

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