Polymarket Odds to Win the 2026 Men’s US Open: Sinner Leads the Field

The 2026 US Open is still a couple of weeks away, but the Polymarket US Open odds prediction market is already making its call on who will lift the trophy in New York.

Jannik Sinner leads the Polymarket board at 52%, with Alexander Zverev, Carlos Alcaraz, and Novak Djokovic forming the next tier of contenders as the market weighs form, fitness, and the brutal path to a Grand Slam title.

Read on for the Polymarket US Open odds, beginning Aug 30, 2026.

2026 US Open Men’s Polymarket Odds

Polymarket prices reflect the market’s current implied probability of each player winning the 2026 US Open. Prices are shown in cents and can move as new information enters the market.

Sinner Leads the Polymarket US Open Odds

Jannik Sinner is the clear favorite on Polymarket at 52 cents, with Alexander Zverev at 13.5 cents and Carlos Alcaraz at 13 cents. Novak Djokovic follows at 6.4 cents, while Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz round out the next tier at 5.5 cents and 2.9 cents, respectively.

A Deep US Open Field

The Polymarket board gives several other contenders a chance in New York, including Daniil Medvedev, Jakub Mensik, Arthur Fils, Joao Fonseca, Felix Auger-Aliassime, and Frances Tiafoe.

With the North American hard-court swing underway, those prices can change quickly as players compete, injuries emerge, and the US Open draw takes shape.

Polymarket Odds Will Continue to Move

The 2026 US Open is still weeks away, meaning there is plenty of time for the market to change. Results, injuries, withdrawals, and player form will all influence the Polymarket odds before the tournament begins in New York.

We’ll continue updating the 2026 US Open Polymarket odds as the market moves.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the Polymarket odds for the 2026 US Open?

Jannik Sinner currently has the highest Polymarket price at 52 cents, followed by Alexander Zverev at 13.5 cents and Carlos Alcaraz at 13 cents.

What does a 52-cent price mean on Polymarket?

A 52-cent YES price represents a market-implied probability of approximately 52% that Sinner will win the 2026 US Open. Polymarket prices can move as traders buy and sell positions.

How do Polymarket US Open markets work?

Polymarket prediction markets allow traders to buy YES or NO positions on an outcome. A winning YES position typically resolves at $1, while a losing position resolves at $0, according to the specific market’s rules.

Are Polymarket odds the same as sportsbook odds?

No. Polymarket prices represent prediction-market probabilities, while sportsbooks use betting odds and incorporate their own pricing and margins. The two markets can produce significantly different numbers.

Can the Polymarket US Open odds change?

Yes. Polymarket prices can move at any time as traders react to tournament results, injuries, withdrawals, player form, and other news.

Who is the favorite to win the 2026 US Open?

Jannik Sinner is currently the favorite on Polymarket at 52 cents.

Who is the defending US Open men’s champion?

Carlos Alcaraz is the defending US Open men’s singles champion.

When does the 2026 US Open begin?

The 2026 US Open begins in late August and concludes in early September at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in New York.