The best WTA top 10 players to bet on in 2025 aren’t necessarily the ones holding trophies or topping the rankings. Some deliver steady betting profit across surfaces, while others – despite elite talent – quietly drain bankrolls over a full season.
This guide breaks down each WTA Top 10 player’s betting profile, highlighting which surfaces generate profit, which situations to avoid, and where sneaky underdog or small-favorite value appears throughout the year.
All stats assume a flat one–unit stake on every WTA tennis match in 2025.
🇧🇾 Aryna Sabalenka — Betting Capsule
Strengths: Indoor Hard, Clay, Hard
Weakness: Grass
| Surface | Record (W–L) | Net Units | ROI % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard | 36–6 | +0.82 | +1.95% |
| Indoor Hard | 4–1 | +0.46 | +9.20% |
| Clay | 18–3 | +1.35 | +6.43% |
| Grass | 7–2 | –0.60 | –6.67% |
- Almost never an underdog; value comes from how efficiently she covers as a big favorite.
- Indoors and on slower hard courts, her power reliably justifies the price over time.
- On grass, the volatility plus short numbers quietly leaks units over a full season.
Bet Sabalenka when: Indoors or on slow/medium hard courts like Indian Wells.
Avoid when: She’s on grass or priced into “no upside” territory as a massive favorite.
🇵🇱 Iga Świątek — Betting Capsule
Strength: Grass
Weaknesses: Indoor Hard, Clay (value-wise), Hard
| Surface | Record (W–L) | Net Units | ROI % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard | 37–9 | –4.36 | –9.48% |
| Indoor Hard | 1–2 | –1.80 | –60.00% |
| Clay | 11–4 | –2.22 | –14.80% |
| Grass | 10–1 | +2.04 | +18.55% |
- Elite win rates, but she’s often priced so high on hard and clay that long-term results are negative.
- Grass is the one surface where the market doesn’t fully squeeze out the value.
- Indoor hard is a clear no-go from a betting standpoint.
- She’s the Queen of Clay, but she is always a heavy favorite.
Bet Świątek when: She’s on grass at sensible prices.
Avoid when: She’s massive chalk on clay or indoors.
🇺🇸 Coco Gauff — Betting Capsule
Strength: Clay
Weaknesses: Grass, Indoor Hard, Hard (value-wise)
| Surface | Record (W–L) | Net Units | ROI % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard | 25–9 | –3.47 | –10.21% |
| Indoor Hard | 1–2 | –1.55 | –51.67% |
| Clay | 18–3 | +3.92 | +18.67% |
| Grass | 0–2 | –2.00 | –100.00% |
- Clay is where her game and the price actually align for bettors.
- Hard courts look good on paper, but the odds make her long-term unprofitable.
- Indoor hard and grass are simply fade spots based on 2025 data.
Bet Gauff when: On clay versus aggressive, error-prone ball-strikers.
Avoid when: Indoors, on grass, or against elite servers.
🇺🇸 Amanda Anisimova — Betting Capsule
Strengths: Hard, Grass
Weakness: Clay
| Surface | Record (W–L) | Net Units | ROI % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard | 26–9 | +9.24 | +26.40% |
| Indoor Hard | 2–2 | –0.01 | –0.25% |
| Clay | 6–4 | –1.40 | –14.00% |
| Grass | 12–3 | +3.43 | +22.87% |
- Hard and grass are genuine profit centers; her aggressive baseline game scales at those prices.
- Clay brings her inconsistency without giving you enough plus money to offset it.
- Indoor hard is essentially break-even.
Bet Anisimova when: On fast, hard, or grass at non-crazy prices.
Avoid when: She’s a clay-court favorite or deep into physical, grinding draws.
🇰🇿 Elena Rybakina — Betting Capsule
Strength: Indoor Hard
Weaknesses: Grass, Hard, Clay (value-wise)
| Surface | Record (W–L) | Net Units | ROI % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard | 34–13 | –3.65 | –7.77% |
| Indoor Hard | 5–0 | +4.35 | +87.00% |
| Clay | 9–3 | –0.84 | –7.00% |
| Grass | 5–3 | –2.15 | –26.88% |
- Indoors, she’s a monster: undefeated with huge profit and realistic prices.
- Outdoor hard, clay, and grass all produce negative long-term returns despite strong raw results.
- Her physical volatility outdoors undermines the short numbers.
Bet Rybakina when: She’s indoors or in indoor-like conditions.
Avoid when: She’s a heavy outdoor favorite, especially on grass.
🇺🇸 Jessica Pegula — Betting Capsule
Strengths: Grass, Hard
Weaknesses: Clay, Indoor Hard
| Surface | Record (W–L) | Net Units | ROI % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard | 35–12 | +1.53 | +3.26% |
| Indoor Hard | 2–2 | –0.32 | –8.00% |
| Clay | 11–5 | –1.74 | –10.88% |
| Grass | 4–2 | +1.59 | +26.50% |
- Hard courts deliver modest but positive profit; she wins what she’s supposed to win.
- Grass is a sneaky sweet spot, with strong returns at fair prices.
- Clay and indoor hard both drift into losing terrain across the season.
Bet Pegula when: On hard or grass versus counterpunchers and medium-power opponents.
Avoid when: She’s on clay, especially as solid or heavy chalk.
🇺🇸 Madison Keys — Betting Capsule
Strength: Hard
Weaknesses: Indoor Hard, Grass, Clay
| Surface | Record (W–L) | Net Units | ROI % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard | 24–6 | +9.64 | +32.13% |
| Indoor Hard | 0–2 | –2.00 | –100.00% |
| Clay | 9–4 | –1.75 | –13.46% |
| Grass | 4–3 | –2.10 | –30.00% |
- On hard courts, Keys is a true profit engine with huge upside when in form.
- Indoors and on grass, the volatility wipes out value quickly.
- Clay never quite matches her power profile from a betting standpoint.
Bet Keys when: She’s a hard-court underdog or small favorite in decent form.
Avoid when: Indoors, on grass, or in unstable momentum situations.
🇮🇹 Jasmine Paolini — Betting Capsule
Strengths: Clay, Hard
Weaknesses: Indoor Hard, Grass
| Surface | Record (W–L) | Net Units | ROI % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard | 25–11 | +6.57 | +18.25% |
| Indoor Hard | 0–3 | –3.00 | –100.00% |
| Clay | 13–3 | +3.63 | +22.69% |
| Grass | 3–3 | –1.60 | –26.67% |
- Clay and hard are true sweet spots; she’s undervalued relative to her consistency.
- Indoors and grass strip away her movement edge and expose her serve.
- Underdog and tight-line matches are where she shines for bettors.
Bet Paolini when: On clay or hard at any fair price.
Avoid when: Indoors or on grass, especially as a favorite.
🇷🇺 Mirra Andreeva — Betting Capsule
Strength: Hard
Weaknesses: Clay, Grass
| Surface | Record (W–L) | Net Units | ROI % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard | 25–9 | +3.55 | +10.44% |
| Clay | 11–4 | –2.39 | –15.93% |
| Grass | 5–3 | –1.54 | –19.25% |
- Already one of the best WTA top 10 players to bet on, especially on hard courts, as both a dog and a favorite.
- Clay and grass are still developmental, with prices creeping up based on her growing reputation and ranking.
- Great candidate for long-term hard-court backing as her game matures.
Bet Andreeva when: She’s on hard courts, especially as a slight underdog or near pick’em.
Avoid when: She’s a favorite on clay or grass against veterans.
🇷🇺 Ekaterina Alexandrova — Betting Capsule
Strengths: Indoor Hard, Clay
Weaknesses: Grass, Outdoor Hard
| Surface | Record (W–L) | Net Units | ROI % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hard | 22–16 | –0.30 | –0.79% |
| Indoor Hard | 4–1 | +2.81 | +56.20% |
| Clay | 13–5 | +5.49 | +30.50% |
| Grass | 8–3 | –1.16 | –10.55% |
- Clay and indoor hard courts turn her into one of the most profitable high-variance plays in the Top 10.
- Outdoor hard and grass introduce enough volatility to drag her into the red.
- She’s a classic “right conditions, right price” specialist.
Bet Alexandrova when: She’s indoors or on clay, especially at plus money.
Avoid when: She’s a favorite outdoors on hard or grass.
Total Units Won by WTA Top 10 Players (2025 Betting Season)
| Rank | Player | Total Units Won |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇺🇸 Amanda Anisimova | +11.26 |
| 2 | 🇷🇺 Ekaterina Alexandrova | +6.84 |
| 3 | 🇮🇹 Jasmine Paolini | +5.60 |
| 4 | 🇺🇸 Madison Keys | +3.79 |
| 5 | 🇧🇾 Aryna Sabalenka | +2.03 |
| 6 | 🇺🇸 Jessica Pegula | +1.06 |
| 7 | 🇷🇺 Mirra Andreeva | –0.38 |
| 8 | 🇰🇿 Elena Rybakina | –2.29 |
| 9 | 🇺🇸 Coco Gauff | –3.10 |
| 10 | 🇵🇱 Iga Świątek | –6.34 |
The numbers don’t lie: only four of the WTA’s biggest names actually made bettors money in 2025. That’s the real secret behind tennis betting; it’s not about the trophies, it’s about the prices.
The market overvalues stars, undervalues specialists, and punishes anyone who bets on reputations instead of surfaces. If you want to win in the long term, follow the edges, not the hype.
